Nouvelle étape par étape Carte Pour Daniel Kahneman Thinking Fast and Slow
Nouvelle étape par étape Carte Pour Daniel Kahneman Thinking Fast and Slow
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Money seems to Don individualism: reluctance to Supposé que involved with, depend je, or accept demands from others.
Nous of the most tragique ingredients is what Tetlock calls “the outside view.” The inside view is a product of fundamental attribution error, soubassement-rate neglect, and other biases that are constantly cajoling coutumes into resting our judgments and predictions nous good or vivid stories instead of nous data and statistics. Tetlock explains, “At a wedding, someone sidles up to you and says, ‘How oblong ut you give them?
In this context, his pessimism relates, first, to the impossibility of effecting any permutation to System 1—the quick-thinking bout of our brain and the one that makes mistaken judgments tantamount to the Müller-Lyer line errements.
Well, this book is the Bruce Lee book of advanced self-defence. Learning just how we fool ourselves might not make you feel terribly great embout what it means to Supposé que human - plaisant at least you will know why you hav stuffed up next time you ut stuff up. I'm not aigre it will Arrêt you stuffing up - fin that would Supposé que asking intuition année awful contingent from one book.
A premortem attempts to counter optimism bias by requiring team members to imagine that a project ha gosse very, very badly and write a sentence pépite two describing how that happened. Conducting this exercise, it turns out, helps people think ahead.
These personalities, he says, are not two different pépite autre systems délicat to understand them better, we will have to assign personalities not only to understand them better ravissant also to Quand able to relate to them nous a personal level. The two systems are called system 1 and system 2, connaissance the sake of convenience. System 1 is vigilant, impulsive, judgmental, easily manipulated, highly emotional. System 2, nous the other hand is the ensemble inverse of system 1, it is very intelligent, indolent, mostly drowsing off in the back of our head, difficult to convince and extremely stubborn, and it only comes to action when there is some fatalité of ‘emergency’. Both these systems are susceptible to a number of biases, system 1 more than system 2.
The hip guys, the planners, believe in basically nothing - they’re all fast talk and Acte. We’ll call them the goats: they love to butt heads with you.
Moreover, sometimes random factors turn dépassé to Si déterminant and determine our behaviour. Ordinary people, unlike ‘fictional’ economic ferment, are not rational, events do not thinking fast and slow pdf always have a causal connection, and stories of our lives often lack coherence and formal logic.
Believe it pépite not, in my appréciation, I believe Mr. Kahneman is telling you exactly that in this book - that whether you like it pépite not, your entire life is guided or may I say decided by two fundamental ideas and that there is very little you can ut to échange it, period.
Kahneman's discoveries and documentation of clerc capacity and biases could form the basis of a "Intellectuel Combattant Style" program: année option form of indoctrination, in which students are trained to understand their brains' weaknesses, and learn to take stances pépite engage in practices that eliminate or reduce the errors to which these weaknesses can lead.
I decided to read it again from the first Écrit parce que it was recommended by many YouTubers, websites, and podcasts.
This is a very fondamental compartiment of visual égarement where we see two lines of same size appearing to Quand of varying lengths. Even after knowing that they are equal and the égarement is created by the limite attached to them, our system 1 still impulsively signals that Nous of them is longer then the other.
” And others closely resemble one another to the position of redundancy. Joli a solid group of 100 pépite so biases ah been repeatedly shown to exist, and can make a hash of our direct.
“I see the picture as unequal lines,” he said. “The goal is not to trust what I think I see. To understand that I shouldn’t believe my lying eyes.” That’s doable with the optical errements, he said, but extremely difficult with real-world cognitive biases.